With the election now over and the stability of Downing
Street secure, with David Cameron and his Blue Tories as the largest party in
Westminster, in Milton Keynes (as in the
rest of the UK) average wages are beginning to grow faster than inflation. This
is good news for the Milton Keynes housing market, as some buyers may be
willing or able to pay higher prices given the more certain
political outlook and attractive inexpensive mortgage rates. However, sellers
who think they have the upper hand due to the lack of property for sale should
be aware that we should start to see an increase in the number of people
putting their properties on to the market in Milton Keynes giving buyers
some extra negotiating power.
At the last election in May 2010, there were 2,622
properties for sale in Milton Keynes and by February 2011, this had risen to 2,836, a rise of 8% in nine months. An increase in the supply
of properties coming on to the market could tip the balance in the demand and
supply economics seesaw, thus potentially denting prices. However, as most
sellers are buyers and confidence is high, this means there will be good levels
of property and buyers, well into the summer, as demand will continue to slightly
outstrip supply.
Just before we leave the run up to the election, it is
important to consider what the uncertainty in April did to the Milton Keynes property
market. I mentioned a few weeks ago that property values (ie what properties
were actually selling for) had risen by 1.2% in March 2015. Now new data has
been released from Rightmove about April’s asking prices of property in Milton
Keynes. It shows that pre-election nerves finally came home to roost in the
final weeks of electioneering, with the average price of property coming to
market only increasing by a very modest 1.1% (April is normally one of the best
months of the year for house price growth).
I am sure our local MP’s, Mark Lancaster and Iain Stewart, would
agree that the biggest issue is the lack of new properties being built in Milton
Keynes. The Conservative manifesto pledged to build 200,000 discounted starter
homes for first-time buyers in the next five years. For Milton Keynes to gets
its share, that would mean only 179 such properties being built in Milton
Keynes each year for the next five years, not much when you consider there are 98,584
properties in Milton Keynes.
Housing is not a big issue for Conservative voters and
because London is an increasingly Labour city where the biggest housing issues
are found by a country mile, so will it remain on the ‘to do list’ but won’t
get recognition it deserves. Until another political party gets back into power,
nothing will seismically change in the property market, thus demand for housing
will continue to outstrip supply, meaning property values will increase (good
news for landlords). However, as rents tend to go up and down with tenant
wages, in the long term, rents are still only 7.4% higher than they were in
2008 (good news for tenants)... with renting everyone wins!
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